Report of the Independent Commission of Electoral Evaluation and Verification, 2015 Elections
The expected number of completed dossiers (3,235) versus those found at the Tabulation Center (294) demonstrates the weakness of the chain of documentary supervision, of which the mission is to protect the chronological documentation or every documentary trace related to the reception, retention, control, transfer, analysis and storage of the physical or electronic evidence.
The proportion of untraceable votes (29%) among the total number of valid votes (1,560,631) means that polling stations allowed 448,000 citizens to vote without filling out a procès-verbal de carence*, as stipulated in the electoral decree. The second critical element is the proportion of correct National Identification Card (CIN) numbers compared to the signatures or fingerprints. The percentage of fake CIN numbers found is 16.2%. For the 1,112,600 traceable votes (valid votes reported on the tally sheets minus the number of CINs written in by hand) 180,250 were fake CIN, making a total of 628,000 untraceable votes.
The number of untraceable votes (628,000 votes, or 40% of valid votes) is higher than the number of votes received by the first-place candidate according to the results of the CEP, higher than the total number of votes received by the second- and third-place candidates, and higher than the difference between the first- and fifth-place candidates. Moreover, by applying certain criteria defined by the Commission based on article 171.1 of the electoral decree**, the situation is even more grave, since the percentage of valid votes falls to 9% of total votes.
In conformity with the mandate of the Commission, which consists, principally, of correcting the process in order to re-establish the trust of the political actors, it recommends the rerunning of the process, while taking the steps necessary to guarantee the right to vote of citizens and those of candidates (the right to be elected).
The full report (in French) can be read here.
* A separate list for political party representatives and national observers who cast votes at polling stations other than where they are registered to vote, as called for in articles 156 and 222.1 of the electoral decree.
** The list of criteria for determining whether a tally sheet from a polling station can be included in the total.